Wyoming caucuses today.

Many of you might not be aware, but Wyoming residents are gathering together today to determine who will represent their state at the Republican National Convention.  The media isn’t covering the event since the total number of delegates is so small.  Additionally, the Republican candidates themselves aren’t attending either, as they are focused on New Hampshire.  As a result, the entire state is up for grabs.

To date, only four candidates have visited the state: Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Duncan Hunter, and Fred Thompson.  Logic would say that these four individuals would have an advantage over the others merely based on the fact that they bothers to meet with the residents.  When you combine that with the current top four leading candidates (Romney, Thompson, Mike Huckabee, and John McCain), we might be able to make a guess as to how the caucus will go.

It is our projection that Mitt Romney will come in first, based upon his national polling strength and his visit to the state.  Second place will go to John McCain due to his national name recognition, prior visit to the state in the 2000 election, and his regional influence.  In third place, Ron Paul might pull the upset, especially if younger voters turn out for the caucus.  He carries a core following with him where ever he goes, and this might just be his best chance for placing high.  We will know this evening if our projection is correct.