Oddly enough, it might happen.

For starters, I don’t put much weight into numerical values on polls.  Polling is an art, and when done improperly, the results can be quite skewed.  Just changing one word can change a positive response to a negative.  Additionally, comparing poll results between different polling agencies is like comparing grades on English tests taken by two different students in two different schools.  That is why I look more at trends than the actual numbers.

With that being said, there is a new trend occurring in Iowa this month.  In a newly published ABC News poll, Obama’s lead has increased since July while Hillary Clinton’s position remains unchanged.  Numerically, Obama raised from 27% to 30%.  Clinton remained even at 26%.  With the margin of error of 4.5%, the two are statistically tied, though there is a sign of forward momentum by Obama.

On the other side of the ballot, Mike Huckabee has surged in the past two months to catch up with state leader Mitt Romney.  In the latest American Research Group poll, Huckabee rose from 19% in October to 24% in November, while Romney fell from 27% to 26%.  With a margin of error of 4%, this places the two in a statistical tie for first in the state.  Like Clinton, Romney has plateaued.  Does this mean that Iowa is not happy with the assumed front runners and are looking for a change?  To answer that question, you need to wait six more weeks – January 3rd, to be exact.  Will these two win in Iowa?  I hope so, if anything just to shake up the election.  Will they face each other in 12 months? 

You tell me.

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